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PIRELLI
FERRARI HILLCLIMB CHAMPIONSHIP |
2008
SEASON STATISTICAL REVIEW
by Graham Easter |
The 2008 Championship was back to 15 rounds at 11 venues, but this became
14 at 10 when Longleat was abandoned through bad weather. There always
seems to be something not quite right about this meeting and it does not
appear on the 2009 calendar, neither has it been counted as part of this
analysis. The Championship ventured north of the border again to Doune,
the "Mother of all Hills" and this time attracted an entry of
a dirty dozen (plus a guest). It stays in for 2009. There will be two
"overseas" rounds next year as the Easter falls at a suitable
time, so the hillclimbers can once again enjoy the delights of Jersey
and Bouley Bay in the Spring. In fact, it's hard to think of anywhere
the Series should go but doesn't, though I bet Chris Butler would like
go to Croft and I'm sure RA would love to swoop off a Brooklands' banking
again.
Most venues attracted strong entries, the average being 17.6 per meeting,
some again being limited by the event organisers. Credit most be given
to the Series organisers for securing so many places at the prestigious
National Prescott and Shelsley meetings. The largest entry was 24 at the
second Loton and the smallest, nine at Cadwell Park. This clashed with
formula classic at Oulton Park and at one point the entry was
so poor it meant that reduced points would have been awarded. This would
have been most unfair to those who had supported the Championship all
year and were still fighting for position and thanks are due to those
who rallied round to avoid this. Cadwell is a great venue, but for some
reason has never been particularly popular, maybe because it's a long
way east and awkward to get to. Also, history teaches that eastern invasions
with extended supply lines tend to become somewhat tricky. Whatever, it's
not on the 2009 calendar.
In terms of supporting the Series, Andrew Holman was this year's Banana
Superiore, competing in all 14 scoring meetings plus the aborted
Longleat. The average number of meetings per driver was up to again to
8.2 with 18 (60%) actually doing the magic 8 or more. In addition to Andrew,
the roll of honour reads Mike Spicer (who did 14), new Champion Jon Goodwin,
Chris Butler, Dave Tomlin, Richard Prior, Phil Whitehead, Richard Allen,
Geoff Dark, John Marshall, Pauline Goodwin, Barrie Wood, Ricardo Preece,
Sean Doyle, Tracey Haynes, Peter Rogerson, Charles Haynes and Wendy-Ann
Marshall.
As regular readers will know, we have a spreadsheet of the results for
the whole year, devised by Tony Cotton, that allows us to play "what
if?" games with the PEPs. With the whole structure having been revised
for 2009, with the 355 becoming the baseline, we've got something interesting
to get our teeth into. I must emphasise that, although this tool was used
to supply one set of figures early on in the PEPs revision process, it
was not called upon to any serious extent.
Last year's Championship was fought out between Jon Goodwin and Chris
Butler, and was unique in that, for the first time, someone (Gooders)
alternated between two tipi to maximum effect. Much has been said about
this, but it's unlikely ever to be repeated with a draconian change to
Lucy's PEP of plus 4.75% vs. the 355 (-7%/+2.25%
to -4.5%/0%). True, her PEP was a little on the squidgy side, but this
drastic change, which puts her on the same as a 308, will render her totally
uncompetitive. I calculate a change of +1.25% would have put her on par
with the 355, based on this year's results.
I can better understand the increase in the 430 PEP, which doubles its
disadvantage to the 355 from 1.25% to 2.5%. (3.5%/2.25% to 2.5%/0%). The
potential of this awesomely powerful tipo is yet to be fully realised
and no-one wants to see the Championship dominated by the latest (and
most expensive) toy. I reckon that this increase in PEP means that it
will still be competitive. For sure, its operators will have to work a
bit harder, but the good news is they are becoming increasingly cost-effective.
I couldn't understand why some tipi, like the 348, had been disadvantaged
by +0.25% vs. the 355. I sought an explanation and was informed
that the general consensus is that distances between PEPs on 348-to-348GTC-to-355
should be equally spaced based on power to weight ratios, rather than
the Hogwarts-based techniques previously employed.
However, my "Boys' Bumper Book of Fazzas" tells me that the
328GTB and 348tb have the same power-to-weight ratio, so shouldn't they
have the same PEP? Also, the Mondi t has a worse power-to- weight ratio
than both, so shouldn't it have a softer PEP? Tongue-in-cheek apart, if
you look at these scenarios, you
can see that apart from the effect on poor ol' Gooders, the thing that
makes the biggest single difference is the removal of the '08 Champ's
+1% from Richard Prior. This proves yet again that minor changes bring
about minor differences, and that the most important nut is the one that
holds the wheel.
Wrangling over PEPs aside, I have to agree with Andrew Holman, who said
in his review of the year
that Gooders drove brilliantly and thoroughly deserved his Championship
and that Chris Butler was a worthy runner-up. I can add that Andrew worked
hard for and thoroughly deserved the final podium place; also he and Richard
Prior brought the Pirelli Temple along to the meetings, where it was an
absolute life-saver given the weather last "summer". Mind you,
it'd be nice to have an espresso machine and maybe - a shrubbery.
And that's it - make of it what you will. Both on the track and in all
of the "metrics" it's the right people who were on top. As always
in racing, class shows.
Points
Mean Prizes |
Pilota |
Points*
|
Av.
Pts. per mtg.*
|
Goodwin
J
Butler
Holman
Tomlin
Prior
Taylor
Spicer
Whitehead
Allen
Dark
|
152
140
125
114
108
108**
103
94
93
86
*Best 8
|
19.00
17.50
15.63
14.25
13.50
15.42**
12.88
11.75
11.63
10.75
** Best 7 |
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The average. points per meeting for the top ten over their best
8 rounds shows that the first two were comfortable in their post
ions, but that Prior and possibly Holman would have had cause for
concern if Nick Taylor had done a few more rounds. Dave Tomlin was
a bit inconsistent, which is reflected in his average and Prior
was handicapped by both the Champ's +1% and his reluctance to get
his hand in his pocket and buy new tyres. Mike Spicer started with
a win, but was generally fifth or sixth thereafter. It's nice to
see Phil Whitehead's efforts rewarded with a place in the top ten.
RA went very well on occasion, especially after his car had been
set-up properly. His high average score reflects his couple of seconds
and a third. Geoff Dark's performance was again a puzzle as his
355 looked quicker than it was, but he did (mostly) stick with it. |
Statistical
Jiggery Pokery |
Pilota |
Mean Score
|
Std. Deviation
|
Marshall
W A
Goodwin P
Preece
Butler
Rogerson
Whitehead
Wood
Doyle
Haynes T
Haynes C
Spicer
Goodwin J
Marshall J
Holman
Dark
Tomlin
Prior
Allen |
1.67
7.77
6.63
16.89
2.89
10.25
6.67
3.10
2.64
2.60
11.00
17.30
7.90
12.79
8.08
12.90
10.54
11.63
|
1.33
1.76
2.00
2.28
2.38
2.42
2.49
2.55
2.90
3.20
3.23
3.82
3.88
4.31
4.46
4.53
4.81
5.10 |
|
This time I've counted the mean score for all of the rounds, and the
std. deviation, but only for those who completed 8 rounds or more.
Wendy-Ann wins the consistency prize this year, and Tracey, rather
than Charles is the most consistent Haynes; I'm sure Wigan's Ovation
still bless her sure backing vocals. Chris Butler was by far the
most consistent of the leading contenders. Gooders' was wrecked
because he took the wrong car to Round 11 and had a stinker of a
last round. Indeed the figures for many of the leading contenders
are indicative of significant on-going variations in performance
level situations round-on-round. |
Winners |
Pilota |
Wins |
Outright |
PEPS |
Total |
Goodwin
Butler
Tomlin
Spicer
Taylor
Prior
RA
Holman |
3
5
2
1
1
1
1
- |
|
|
|
This year we had eight winners either outright or on PEPs. Chris
Butler again took the most outright wins, with the second Loton
undoubtedly his best performance when he beat Gooders in the 430.
Dave Tomlin took two great doubles at Shelsley and Gurston. Mike
Spicer won at North Weald, Nick Taylor at the first Prescott, Prior
at Cadwell and RA and MD had an Anglia Group lock-out at the last
Curborough - well it is flat. |
Tipo |
Entries |
Wins |
OA |
PEP |
355
328
308
348GTC
430
348
GT4
360
246
250GT Lusso |
11
5
4
4
3
3
2
2
1
1 |
9
-
-
1
3
1
-
-
-
- |
5
-
-
1
2
2
-
-
-
4 |
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This season as last, the 355 was comfortably the most numerous tipo
and was way ahead on wins. However, its 5 PEPs wins were scored
by 3 different drivers whereas the one man Stoke Scuderia took six.
The 328 was still the second most numerous tipo with 5 examples,
but took no wins. The passage of time has been recognised in that
whereas the 328 was once the baseline, next year it'll be the 355.
The PFHC enjoys the participation of half of the full population
of RHD 348GTCs, and all beautifully turned out, but this was not
a good year for the tipo with "only" one win, albeit a
double for Nick Taylor. He will be worth watching next year with
the tipo's handicap vs. the 355 and "ordinary"
348 having been improved. The standard 348 showed that it can still
acquit itself well in the hands of skilful and determined operators,
but its exponents are going to have to work even harder next year.
Sadly, this year RA did not deploy his heavy metal. I really do
hope this doesn't become a "one make" series like formula
classic.
|
Pilota |
Posn.
(Actual)
|
Butler
Tomlin
Spicer
Prior
Goodwin J
Holman
Whitehead
Allen
Taylor
Marshall J |
1 (2)
2 (4)
3 (7)
4 (5)
5 (1)
6 (3)
7 (8)
8 (9)
9 (6)
10 (11)
Best 8 counted |
This is the top ten based on outright speed - no PEPs.
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Click here
to go to the full results.
Click here to go to the 2008 Pirelli
Ferrari Hillclimb Championship page.
Click
here to go to the 2009 Pirelli Ferrari Hillclimb Championship
page.
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Wet
weather was again a feature of the year and totally did for Longleat.
Bless the Pirelli Temple! |
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Mad
Dog proudly shows off his 'Doune Stripes' |
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Loton
II was the most popular meeting.... |
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....occasionally
racing interrupted lunch |
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Cadwell
was picturesque but unpopular |
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355 was Series' favourite and
becomes PEPs baseline for '09
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The Series
was ultimately between these two |
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Do draconian
change to Lucy's PEP mean we will ever see her again? |
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430 drivers
will just have to try a bit harder next year |
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Wendy-Ann
Marshall consistently demonstrated the Series' second most popular
tipo |
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Andrew
Duncan has lift-off in his annual outing in one of the Series' four
348GTCs |
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The Series'
only Dino gets a wash and brush up |
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The driver
is the single most important factor - though sometimes it's hard to
believe |
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360 is
disgracefully penalised for 2009 (it says here) |
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Thanks to
all who supplied pics in 2008
Andrew & Yvonne Holman, Bob Holmes, CMdigicams, Graham Easter,
Liz Malone, Pauline Goodwin, Rob Libralon, Richard Allen, Richard
Prior, Tony Cotton, Tracey Haynes and of course Scuderia
Fotografia
Also to Ricardo Preece for in-car movies
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